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Issue #22September 17, 2025

When AI Gold Rush Meets the Reality Check

Originally published as From The Ground Up.

The numbers tell a wild story about where we're headed,and who's betting big on it.

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🏗 From The Ground Up

Real Estate Insights. Success Mindset. One Step at a Time. Issue #22 | September 17, 2025

🧠 Market Insights

When AI Gold Rush Meets the Reality Check

The numbers tell a wild story about where we're headed—and who's betting big on it.

Last Sunday, Blackstone dropped $1 billion on a natural gas power plant near Pittsburgh, citing "soaring demand for electric power from data centers that process artificial intelligence applications." The world's largest commercial real estate owner isn't just buying dirt anymore—they're buying the power to feed it. In July, they announced $25 billion in power and data center infrastructure investments in Pennsylvania alone.

Meanwhile, industrial outdoor storage (IOS) rents have surged 123% since 2020, far outpacing traditional warehouse rates, as Wall Street discovers what the smart money already knew: every data center needs a massive staging ground for construction equipment, generators, and transformers.

The global AI data center market is anticipated to grow from USD 236.44 billion in 2025 to USD 933.76 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 31.6%. That's not just growth, that's a full-blown land grab.

But here's where it gets interesting. Prince George's County in Maryland just hit the pause button on all data center development, putting a $5 billion project on ice after fierce community pushback. County Executive Aisha Braveboy issued an order pausing the issuance of any permits for data center construction until after a task force finishes making recommendations.

Meanwhile, the US has just 1.4M acres of IOS land, roughly the size of Delaware. The current vacancy rate is only 5%.

The Dirt Dawg Take: When Blackstone is paying billion-dollar premiums for power plants and local governments are hitting pause, that's not confusion, that's opportunity. The counties saying "yes" to data centers are about to capture massive value, while the ones debating in task forces might be missing the biggest infrastructure play of the decade.

✨ The Alpha Effect

"When Everyone Else Hits Pause, You Hit The Gas"

Prince George's County's moratorium tells us everything about this market moment.

Fear is winning over opportunity. Community concerns about power consumption and environmental impact are real, but they're also creating the biggest arbitrage opportunity we've seen since the data center rush began.

Here's what the pros know: while one county debates, three others are expediting permits. While one community fights, another is rolling out the red carpet with tax incentives and infrastructure upgrades.

Goldman Sachs Research estimates that about $720 billion of grid spending through 2030 may be needed to support this infrastructure boom. The players positioning themselves ahead of that spending wave aren't the ones sitting in task force meetings, they're the ones securing sites, locking in power agreements, and building relationships with the utilities that matter.

The real alpha isn't in predicting the future. It's in positioning for it while others are still arguing about it.

This moment separates the patient from the paralyzed. The counties and landowners who can navigate complexity while others freeze up will capture the upside that hesitation leaves behind.

🚀 One Step at a Time

Three Moves to Make This Week:

  1. Map Your Power Infrastructure — Overlay your land holdings with electrical substations and transmission lines. Every data center generates IOS demand, and proximity to power is the new proximity to highways.

  2. Study The Pause Points — Where are other jurisdictions hitting the brakes on data centers? These aren't dead zones, they're opportunity zones for the patient player willing to work through the complexity.

  3. Build Your Utility Relationships — The bottleneck isn't zoning anymore, it's power capacity. The landowners who win this cycle are the ones with utility partners, not just entitlement attorneys.

Small steps compound. While others debate whether the AI boom is sustainable, the infrastructure to support it is getting built, one strategic land play at a time.

Here's to building your success, one step at a time, from the ground up.

Kris "Dirt Dawg" McGee 🐾

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